Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.117805 0.131268 0.145035 0.160125 0.176164 0.192665 0.210887
2024-10-13 0.100607 0.119146 0.138789 0.161023 0.185367 0.211092 0.240217
2024-10-20 0.087060 0.109032 0.133068 0.161042 0.192439 0.226349 0.265500
2024-10-27 0.075289 0.099600 0.127023 0.159770 0.197357 0.238734 0.287315
2024-11-03 0.067067 0.093396 0.123944 0.161269 0.204950 0.253818 0.312001
2024-11-10 0.061367 0.089606 0.123216 0.165123 0.214990 0.271546 0.339667
2024-11-17 0.054467 0.083697 0.119443 0.164949 0.220018 0.283321 0.360436
2024-11-24 0.050482 0.081102 0.119424 0.169065 0.229968 0.300741 0.387733
2024-12-01 0.045678 0.077002 0.117185 0.170184 0.236124 0.313590 0.409660
2024-12-08 0.040784 0.072351 0.113897 0.169707 0.240119 0.323728 0.428316
2024-12-15 0.036988 0.068888 0.111894 0.170639 0.245687 0.335650 0.449039
2024-12-22 0.032971 0.064751 0.108711 0.169818 0.248892 0.344593 0.466133
2024-12-29 0.030580 0.062903 0.108616 0.173095 0.257424 0.360284 0.491720
2025-01-05 0.027562 0.059824 0.106613 0.173695 0.262451 0.371633 0.512067
2025-01-12 0.024603 0.056555 0.104129 0.173482 0.266318 0.381482 0.530571
2025-01-19 0.021594 0.052895 0.100847 0.171992 0.268387 0.389000 0.546175
2025-01-26 0.019650 0.050838 0.099782 0.173455 0.274259 0.401262 0.567631
2025-02-02 0.018486 0.050038 0.100530 0.177414 0.283423 0.417705 0.594321
2025-02-09 0.016459 0.047456 0.098402 0.177182 0.286919 0.426905 0.611997
2025-02-16 0.015583 0.046944 0.099437 0.181451 0.296461 0.443852 0.639404
2025-02-23 0.014138 0.045168 0.098367 0.182597 0.301733 0.455305 0.659939
2025-03-02 0.012507 0.042818 0.096235 0.182082 0.304665 0.463699 0.676610
2025-03-09 0.011290 0.041175 0.095154 0.183046 0.309579 0.474639 0.696505